金粉世家

'Katy, Bar the Door': Why Pelosi's Trip to Taiwan is Fraught With Risk of Military Escalation_我的网站

A |     "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。    8月20日，在《黑神话：悟空》发售两周年、《黑神话：钟馗》官宣一周年的节点，《黑神话》系列美术总监杨奇发布了一条长微博。最新实机视频：原文摘录如下：PV视频刚刚上传完毕，稍微有点戒断反应，今晚怕是没心思工作了。听说发长文显得人比较忠厚，这次争取写长一点，聊点正经事儿...又是一个820，其实每年这天都挺怕的，怕被盯着交东西。今年更怕，因为确实有点东西... 讲真的，820变成固定节目绝非出于本意，不过好处嘛，倒也是有的：同事们居然花了两个月，把原计划小半年的工作量给收尾了(掐指一算要见用户，这帮人立情绪失控，肢体异变，拦都拦不住...再多想一层，谁说掏上个百来块钱，只能买到一串冷冰冰的CDKey？游戏出来之前照样可以提供情绪价值，逢年过节，翻个跟头助助兴，聚一聚，闹一闹，怎么就不算一种免费玩法呢？！话说回来，黑猴也凉了挺久了，好像质疑声还是不少：悟空上了，不做续集，做什么钟馗？希望有了这部PV，多少能作出一些解答。

B | 简单归纳，以前那些小花招，障眼法不管用了，如果要再碰西游题材，我们得换个地方，先把基本功练扎实。随便列举几条，老师们可在短片里稍作对照（目前都还在摸索，看个苗头就好）：1，这次要争取把阴天做到位。

C | 阴天是最有带入感的叙事氛围，但碍于全局光照明的一些渲染痛点，很难表达好物体的真实体感，画面容易偏平，色彩分布也会失真。所以黑猴里喜欢用大太阳来遮掩问题，就算表现一些压抑的环境氛围，也只能把主光源调成夕阳或者冷色，目的还是先让对比度刺激起来，分散注意力。这种方法固然好用，但终归降低了画面的可信度，也带来一些自动曝光的屁股没擦干净。2，可信的战斗交互和反馈。对，还是“可信”，越是神魔题材，可信度越重要。说起来挺粗暴的，目前的开发手段就是狂堆基础动作数据，衔接动作帧尽量覆盖，运镜保持克制，避免摆拍感。这些玩意对设计和耐心都是考验，内部的动画老师们最近每天偷偷跑去动捕棚加场，一点成本意识都没有，捕回来的很多数据直到这个PV封版都没K完...3，本本分分的设计风格，不做单纯讨好眼睛的创意。学生时代听到耳朵起茧的 “渐老渐熟，乃造平淡”，放在设计上，也是基本功。我们以前跑偏了很久，黑猴在往回跑了，只是还不够。

D | 4，叙事演出尽量淡化舞台感。

E | 黑猴的剧情表演，角色大多还是端着说话，空间上也几乎没有调度。通常舞台上安排两三个人，你走几步，我退几步，你蹦跶几下，我动手就打；A说话，B假装在听，脸上露出酷酷的表情。这些都要改进，至少先让形式丰富起来。

F | 5，空气墙，被骂的最多的。空气墙的症结一两句捋不清楚，反正根治的方法就是尽量没有空气墙... 这对场景物体的碰撞设置，地图可达性，包括角色的对位动画量来说，都是新门槛。

G | 我们正在努力，因为可能涉及玩法剧透，就不多说了。先这些吧，毕竟项目还在早期阶段，PV里只有一张测试地图，几幕未完成的剧情切片，有说服力的东西不多。平心而论，钟馗是个好题材，在我脑海里，他甚至包含了对"神魔"，"仙侠"，"武侠" 的三重想象。如果用一个词来描述他的气质，我依然会选 "洒脱"。不过这种"洒脱"，应当是一种灰头土脸，不动声色的洒脱；自然，也有冲冠一怒，不计后果的洒脱。记得很多年前和一位制片朋友聊天，我说等以后退休了，想拍一部45集电视剧，揭露游戏圈的黑暗。

H | 朋友说你当真想拍，现在就拍，否则就没机会了，因为心态会变。此言不假，黑猴上线后，顿时觉得行业大好，一片光明。

I | 如今反思起来，深刻体会了一个道理，想做什么就要立刻做，哪怕步子太大，哪怕会留遗憾。这是上回摘桃儿留下的经验教训，也是一群不嫌事儿大的队友们给的信心。所谓捉山中鬼易，捉心中鬼难。这世间，从来不少伪善的乡愿，告状的恶人，鱼肉百姓的混老爷，欺世盗名的假和尚。然而捉心中鬼难，捉山中鬼也难，因为人啊这一老，可能就上不了山了。

Current article:http://www.caonaishengpengchuali.shop/news/20260826_165.ppt

Published on:16:10:32