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Winter is Coming: German Economy Doomed in Wake of Anti-Russian Sanctions, Scholars Say_我的网站

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A | While Germany's producer prices observe the biggest rise since records began in 1949, the index has also shown the biggest month-on-month increase, leaping 5.3% from June to July.,"The outlook for the further development [of the economy] is currently noticeably gloomy," and marked by "a high degree of uncertainty," Germany's Finance Ministry said in its August monthly report, quoted by Reuters.,"We have something like a tsunami coming," said Florian Josef Hoffmann, former president of the Chamber of Industry and Commerce East Thuringia and author of "Occupy Economics." "It’s calm water, everything goes slowly down. For example, furniture retail has completely stopped and other things are going down, too. Everything goes slower step by step. But the disaster comes, as I told you, in autumn. And that will be very bad. I can't imagine that this economy can easily survive this really critical situation.",Germans have been experiencing some pre-existing domestic problems as the government turned down nuclear and coal plants in order to switch over to gas and renewables, he noted. However, anti-Russian sanctions which included a sweeping energy embargo "create a real huge problem for the economy because it is based on the cheap Russian gas and now it's cut down by the own will of the government," according to Hoffmann.,"They cut down the gas import [from Russia]," he explained. "So the whole strategy of the past is ruined, and that's the problem. And that makes for great uncertainty because more or less the ship runs against the ice mountain. It's more than uncertainty; I see even the crash coming along for the German economy, not only because of these sanctions, but because of the consequences of the sanctions.",Energy Crisis in EuropeEU Will Not Replace Russian Gas in Full If Nord Stream 1 Remains Shut, Expert Says19 July, 18:20 GMT,The Russo-German chill started with Berlin suspending the Nord Stream 2 project on February 22, 2022. Moscow launched a special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine two days later, after the US, NATO and the EU defied Russia's draft security agreements envisaging ending the transatlantic military alliance's expansion and deployment in Ukraine.,In the aftermath of the operation, the US and its NATO allies have introduced several packages of sanctions. The EU pledged to end its dependence on Russian fossil fuels before 2030, following in Washington and London's footsteps. In April, Brussels laid out targets to slash its demand for Russian natural gas by two-thirds by the end of 2022.,Western sanctions also complicated Gazprom's maintenance of the existing Nord Stream 1 infrastructure. The Russian company was forced to reduce shipments via the network in mid-June over delays in the repair of a Siemens-built high-pressure gas pumping turbine in Canada. Ottawa deliberately delayed the return of the turbine, which had undergone maintenance work, back to Europe, citing anti-Russian sanctions. To make matters worse, the Canadian side did not provide proper documentation for the turbine which resulted in further delays. In late July, Gazprom said that it had to stop the operation of another Siemens gas turbine engine for maintenance, which prompted western press to groundlessly claim that Russia was deliberately cutting gas supplies to Europe.,Berlin's energy policy is dictated from Washington for the detriment of the people of Germany, according to Dr. Christian Blex, an AfD lawmaker from the state parliament of North Rhine-Westphalia.,"The sanctions that the hypermoral German government in particular is repeatedly demanding are therefore particularly bad for our country," he said. "Any responsible government would base its actions on the well-being of its own people rather than acting as a vassal of the US.",Energy Crisis in EuropeGermany Should Immediately Launch Nord Stream 2, Bundestag Vice Speaker Says08:42 GMT,Biggest Problems Coming in Autumn, Winter,As of yet, the negative impact of sanctions is not particularly felt by ordinary Germans, according to the observers.,"At the moment we don't feel anything. Big bills are only announced and haven't yet reached the consumers," said Hoffmann. "But the announcements are that the energy prices will go up three to five fold, for many people [this will be] simply unpayable. That’s what is going to come in autumn. Ordinary people prepare by buying canned food or wood or gas stoves. What I also know is, for instance, that not only the ordinary people, but also the cities are preparing. The city of Dusseldorf is cutting down the heating of all gangways in their administration facilities. They are cutting the temperature down from 21 degrees centigrade to 19 or even 17, closing saunas and heating outside swimming pools. They are cutting down lights on public buildings.",While the people are not yet in panic, the German authorities are, according to Hoffmann.,"The government is talking about reducing the turnover tax for gas from 19% to 7% and they are trying to reduce the tax load for pensioners and other instruments to calm down the people," he noted. "But it's ridiculous what they plan when you look at the task of breaking a huge breakdown of the economy. It's only peanuts.",Meanwhile, businesses are expecting climbing power prices, and they are already thinking about how to compensate for that, according to him.,"The German economy looks to the future with serious concerns," echoed Blex. "In contrast to many citizens, business knows exactly what the energy crisis will bring. In public, however, criticism is heard only hesitantly. Fear of green politics and the media is still very great. As the suffering increases, the criticism will become louder… The biggest problems are coming up for the ordinary people with the inflation of food prices and extremely with the power costs. It will hit the poor, the low income class, those who will have to pay not 40, 50 or 60 euros per month for their power, but 200, 400 or even 500. That will make them not only hungry but upset.",WorldGerman Craftsmen Urge Chancellor Scholz to Scrap Sanctions Against Russia13:40 GMT,The AfD lawmaker expects a worsening recession with industrial production falling noticeably in Germany. He forecasts that short-time work will be reintroduced, adding that retailers are already noticing that more and more Germans are making significant savings. After all, the German national debt will continue to rise rapidly, according to him.,For his part, Hoffmann does not rule out that the people will eventually take to the streets en masse, stressing that the German government has already been preparing for this scenario.,"Our Ministry of Defense is preparing a special task force of 1900 soldiers, which have to keep peace within the country," he said. "This is an incredible decision. Our Bundeswehr is an army solely for defense against attacks from the outside. This basic rule is now broken, which means we are now in a totalitarian regime which has no respect for laws and our Constitution. They simply do what they want including censorship. And as one can see, they are preparing for a revolution.",Hoffmann cites German Chancellor Olaf Scholz as saying that the country's forces won't shoot at the people. However, the author expresses skepticism about Scholz' pledge: "It is like 'nobody wants to build a wall' in 1961 and then it was built some weeks later. So, the situation is disastrous," he concluded.。当地时间8月21日，曝光美国林肯号航母上恶劣环境的美国《星条旗报》总编辑斯拉文因“抗命”被解职。一同被解职的还有《星条旗报》的长期出版人莱德勒和中东事务记者拉拉科尔特。

B | 解职的理由是“ 三人公然抗命，拒不服从管理”。但明眼人都知道，这三人是美军衰败的吹哨人，只不过讲了真话而已。林肯号航母于2025年11月21日从加州圣迭戈母港出发，原本计划前往太平洋并在2026年5月回家。

C | 然而，美伊冲突骤然升级，这艘航母被紧急改道，原定5月结束的部署被一延再延。其结果就是这艘航母连续250天未靠港，刷新现代航母部署纪录。舰上约5000名水兵士气低落，加上物资短缺、生活条件恶劣，已有多人精神崩溃，试图跳海。美国众议员迈克·莱文亲口在媒体上证实，舰上淋浴间发霉、厕所损坏、洗衣设备停用数周，长时间没有热水、粮食短缺，没有肥皂、除臭剂或牙膏，一顿饭只有半杯米饭和两张玉米饼。【林肯号航母上的伙食】《星条旗报》随后进行了跟踪报道，将整个事件公之于众。《星条旗报》可不是一份普通的报纸，这家创刊于二战时期的媒体，是正儿八经的美军喉舌，专属服务全球数百万美军官兵，是美军对外发声、对内通报的核心权威阵地，是根正苗红的“自己人”。自己人怎么能曝光自家的丑闻呢？还有没有一点觉悟？于是，一纸解职令于同一天落到了三个人头上。

D | 我打不了伊朗，还打不了你吗？ 总编辑埃里克·斯拉文被解职的理由是"不服从命令"，他在声明中称，若对军人进行新闻审查将触及他个人关于办报理念的红线。发行人莱德勒自2007年起担任发行人，已长达19年，不久前还通过电子邮件宣布自己将于今年9月30日退休，没想到连退休前的体面都没保住，直接被扫地出门。

E | 记者拉拉科尔特则在社交媒体上直言解雇是“一种耻辱”。更讽刺的是，《星条旗报》的新闻发出后，立即受到了CNN的抨击，称这是“编造的假新闻”。一个被美帝亲口认证的“假新闻之王”，居然指责别人编造假新闻？面对《星条旗报》的报道，美国没有选择改善舰员待遇，而是选择解决提出问题的人。

F | 赫排长公开露面，称关于"林肯"号恶劣条件的报道"完全失实"和"被完全歪曲"，并称"林肯"号在所有美军航母中一直保持着"最高的人员续约率之一（84.4%）" 这个84.4%的续约率，恰恰是美军"自愿续约"制度的产物。在美军全志愿兵役制下，水兵如果不续约就面临退伍后缺乏社会保障的困境，高续约率恰恰反映了没有选择的选择，而非士气高昂。事实上，早在去年五角大楼就盯上了《星条旗报》。去年1月，五角大楼发言人肖恩·帕内尔公开宣称： "《星条旗报》将根据我们作战人员的需求量身定制。

G | 它将聚焦于战争、武器系统、杀伤力、生存能力以及一切军事事务，不再刊登花边新闻，也不再转载美联社的报道。" 翻译成大白话就是： 军方媒体只能歌颂战争，不能报道战争的代价。 随后五角大楼解雇了该报监察专员杰奎琳·史密斯，理由是“监管不力”。

H | 说明至少在去年甚至前年，《星条旗报》就“不受控制”了，新闻报道上开始“随心所欲”了。斯拉文等三人的结局肯定是悲惨的。业内皆知，美国的舆论管制从来不止解雇这么简单，开除仅仅是第一步。

I | 等待他们的，还有隐形打压、行业封杀、舆论抹黑，甚至背后中数枪自尽也不稀奇。解决不了问题，就解决提出问题的人。所谓的言论自由就是个笑话，但凡触及真相、暴露短板、揭露狼狈的真话，统统属于违规、必须被清除。

J | 真正是对外标榜透明公正，对内严控舆论一手遮天。返回，查看更多。

K |

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Published on:08:22:16