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'The Last Laugh': EU Sanctions on Russia Backfiring as Moscow Winning 'Energy War,' Analysts Say_我的网站

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日前，在邢台诺德宠物用品有限公司生产车间，工人正在打包宠物粮。 Western sanctions that followed the launching of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine in February were nakedly aimed at reducing Russia energy exports to zero and making the Russian economy “scream,” as they had similarly attempted with Venezuela and Iran. However, with Moscow securing new markets and prices rebounding, it’s Europeans who are on the losing end of things, experts told Sputnik on Thursday.,According to Bloomberg, prices across Europe are expected to increase sharply later this year, when European sanctions against Russian crude oil exports take effect, with some places predicting a doubling in prices. All this while Russia’s crude oil production and income continue to recover to pre-February levels, thanks to expanded exports to Asian buyers and a healthy relationship with OPEC+.,Western European governments had better hope the winter is warm, because if people start freezing due to fuel shortages, they will demand an end to their government’s policies blocking the gas.,Dr. Mamdouh G. Salameh, a visiting professor of energy economics at the ESCP Business School in London, told Sputnik that “energy is far more formidable weapon in the hand of President Putin than hydrogen bombs.”,“The world, particularly the European Union (EU), is very dependent on Russian oil and gas supplies. That is why Western sanctions have so far largely refrained from sanctioning Russian oil and gas exports to the EU and that is why Russia is winning the energy war,” the economist asserted.,“Western sanctions against Russia have on the whole failed miserably,” he said. “The sanctions are hurting the economies of those imposing them rather than the Russian economy.”,He noted that in the US and EU alike, high gas prices are having widespread effects across their economies, helping to push the EU into a recession.,“There will very soon come the time when European citizens will ask their governments to stop spending billions of dollars supplying Ukraine with weapons rather than use these billions to help them reduce their energy bills,” he predicted. “The day is coming when the EU will reverse course on Ukraine and lift the sanctions against Russia in return for plentiful Russian cheap gas and oil supplies. If it is to be able to do that, the EU has to free itself from the United States’ pressure and stand up to the US.”,“The more sanctions Western countries impose on Russia, the higher the prices of oil and gas surge and the more revenues Russia gets from its energy exports,” Salameh said, adding that “Western analysts and some experts are daydreaming and also deluding themselves if they think that the Russian energy sector is failing. They are trying to talk down Russia’s energy sector but they are doomed to fail miserably.”,“The real irony is that Russia’s economy will emerge in a better shape than most Western economies in the aftermath of the Ukraine conflict. Putin is going to have the last laugh.”,Vladimir Demidov, an international expert on the resources and energy markets, told Sputnik that regardless of the path of European policy, at this point, Russian energy is not coming back. European nations will adapt, but the higher energy costs will stay and will cause Europe’s global standing to decline.,“I don't think there's going to be a global crisis, given that [there is] a fairly rapid filling of underground storage facilities,” he said. “I think that talking about freezing is a fiction, of course, provided that -40 [Celsius] does not hold in Europe. And then, I think, it will be more difficult.”,“Next year, I don't think they will freeze at all,” he predicted. “Enough gas for them and mine, I think they will unpack their coal mines, cuts, quarries. There they will start producing gas at home, by fracturing the reservoir, in general, they will kill nature, but they will have enough gas.”,“And in the future, Gazprom will only supply less. I think its share will fall to 50 billion [cubic meters per day] in the next two or three years, at most. The problem is that everything that is mined by them [Europe] is very expensive. The role of Europe as an economically independent unit of the world economy will simply disappear. Europe will cease to be independent,” Demidov said.,Still, Demidov predicted that Europe’s sanctions policies would continue, even as they set in motion the gradual decline of the continent.,“In Europe, four premiers are gone, including in Great Britain. I do not think that it [governments dissolving] will continue; if the winter is really warm enough, then other premiers will not fly. And everyone is fine, they will say that ‘you see, we did it! These hordes have not conquered us!’ After that, the fall of the European economy will start. The sanctions they have introduced have not been thought through, they will cause themselves more damage than Russia in the next 3-5 years.”。

二 | 日报记者吕若汐摄8月20日，走进邢台诺德宠物用品有限公司生产车间，工人们熟练地将烘烤后的宠物粮进行分装、封口、装箱。在成品区，一批刚完成质检的宠物粮整齐码放，即将打包装车，经由天津港发往国外。

三 | 诺德宠物是一家集宠物食品与用品研发、生产、销售于一体的老牌企业。自2021年加快海外市场布局以来，产品已销往50多个国家，去年出口额突破2.5亿元。

四 | “前不久我们开拓了拉美市场，上半年出口额达1.47亿元，同比增长8.35%。”公司总经理孙计国欣喜地说。短短数年，企业靠什么赢得海外市场认可？“这些年，全球宠物经济持续升温，邢台拥有完善的宠物食品产业链、丰富的原材料供应，加上我们多年积累的行业经验，占据天时地利。”孙计国表示。不过开拓国外市场并非一帆风顺。

五 | “起初，我们沿用国内宠物粮的配方和工艺去做海外市场，产品出现水土不服的情况。”孙计国介绍，只有真正了解当地消费者需求，提供差异化的产品，才能在市场上站稳脚跟。为此，企业研发团队系统研究各国对进口宠物粮的准入标准、营养法规及当地宠物喂养习性，针对不同区域、不同品种、不同年龄段宠物，定制研发宠物粮，精准匹配细分市场需求。走进诺德宠物一楼产品展厅，各种宠物粮主粮按口味、配方、适用年龄段分层摆放。在一个展台上，一款深蓝色包装、印有小狗图案的产品格外醒目，包装正面印着品牌标识，通体英文介绍。“这是我们出口中东市场的明星产品，今年售出1500多吨。”公司综合部部长赵丽娜说。“在市场调研中，我们发现中东地区消费者对宠物食品原料来源、生产工艺有特殊认证要求。

六 | ”赵丽娜说，企业选用鲜鸡肉作原料，从源头确保合规与安全，同时创新生产工艺，在有效锁住鲜肉营养的同时，改善颗粒质地与口感。依靠改进的生产工艺，企业提升了产品品质，在中东市场站稳脚跟。针对中亚市场需求，量身定制20公斤大包装、大颗粒宠物粮；适配韩国市场偏好，专门研制纯牛肉配方宠物粮，受到当地消费者青睐……坚持按需研发，企业打造起多元化产品矩阵。过硬品质是企业立足国际市场的根基。展厅墙壁上，一面证书墙格外醒目，ISO9001、ISO14001等一系列国际认证证书整齐陈列。