继8月份全国居民消费价格指数（CPI）公布后，各地物价表现也陆续揭晓。当月，全国共有23个省份CPI同比涨幅较上月收窄，海南、新疆等6省份涨幅有所扩大。三季度已近尾声，未来物价怎么走？
13省份CPI同比涨幅高于全国8月份，全国CPI同比上涨2.5%，涨幅比上月回落0.2个百分点。
记者查阅国家统计局官网数据库发现，当月，共13个省份CPI同比涨幅高于全国水平，分别是：海南、四川、浙江、重庆、陕西、甘肃、山西、辽宁、湖北、广西、宁夏、江西、新疆。其中，海南CPI同比上涨3.2%，四川同比上涨3.0%，是仅有两个跨入“3时代”的省份。 The box office collections of Balakrishna’s latest film Akhanda 2 continue to surprise trade pundits. According to Tollywood box office sources, the Boyapati Srinu directorial reportedly collected around Rs 61 crore during the first weekend and is sitting pretty so far.
Akhanda 2 shines at box office
Although Akhanda 2 opened to mixed reviews, trade wise, the Balakrishna-starrer did throw a few surprises. After the film registered Rs 22.5 crore collections on the first day (Friday), Rs 15.5 crore on Saturday, the expectations were high on Sunday too, and according to estimates, Akhanda 2 raked in Rs 15 crore. The film’s overall collections stand at Rs 61 crore (net) in India (including Rs 8 crore from premieres). These box office numbers are promising for a film that received negative reviews from critics and trade. Fans attribute the collections to Balakrishna’s star power and his commanding screen presence.In North America too, the devotional action drama registered $750K at the box office making it a successful weekend. According to industry analysts, the litmus test for the film starts from Monday. While the general prediction is that any film would witness a decline in ticket sales on Monday, it’ll be interesting to see how Akhanda 2 continues its box office run.
Believed in director’s vision: Balakrishna
Speaking at the film’s success meet, Balakrishna said that Akhanda is a film that reflects the spirit of Sanatana Dharma and the soul of our nation. “I believed in the director's vision and we are happy that it delivered blockbuster success. We stand vindicated,” said Balakrishna, reinforcing that the film is a collaborative effort. “More than a film’s release, it’s impact on society is critical. We have faced several challenges while making Akhanda 2, but we came out flying colours. We expressed our gratitude to the audiences for making the film a blockbuster success.”Also Read: Akhanda 2 Movie Collections: Balakrishna’s Film Scores Well on Day 2。8月份，吉林、黑龙江、安徽、湖南、广东、青海等6省份CPI同比涨幅与全国水平持平。
B | 上海、江苏、福建、云南、内蒙古、天津、贵州、河北、山东、西藏、北京、河南等12省份CPI同比涨幅低于全国水平，京、豫两地CPI涨幅均回落至“1%区间”。对比上月，8月份海南、新疆两地CPI同比增幅分别扩大0.8和0.7个百分点，增幅在全国居前；吉林、上海、福建、河南等4省份CPI同比涨幅缩窄0.5个百分点，并列全国第一。多重因素致CPI涨幅低于预期总体来看，8月份全国CPI同比涨幅低于此前市场预期。平安证券首席经济学家钟正生团队 认为，食品涨幅偏弱、能源价格回落、核心CPI表现低迷三者共同导致这一结果。食品方面，猪肉、鲜菜、鸡蛋等食品价格环比涨幅弱于季节性。不过，猪肉价格的相对高位一定程度上带动其他肉类价格走高，对食品分项构成小幅支撑。能源方面，国际原油价格调整，继续带动能源相关分项价格下行。核心CPI方面，受疫情抑制服务需求、消费品成本压力减缓后“以价换量”等因素影响，同比增速持平于0.8%的偏低位置。资料图。中新社记者 张云 摄后续物价怎么走？专家分析认为，需要关注两大因素：一是食品价格能否维持9月上旬高频价格走势；二是国际油价能否上涨进而带动国内成品油价上调。华创证券研究所所长助理、首席宏观分析师张瑜 表示，截至9月上旬，相较于8月均价，蔬菜批发价上涨15.8%，猪肉和鸡蛋零售价分别上涨2.1%、7.1%；同期，汽油零售价较8月均价下跌了1.8%。但预计中下旬食品价格涨幅会有所放缓；如果油价不涨，9月CPI同比或难以破3%。此外，随着高温天气影响消退，蔬菜产量和上市量会有所增加，蔬菜价格涨幅或有回落；考虑到产能情况和政策保供稳价措施，猪肉价格斜率也应该趋缓；随着天气转凉，蛋鸡产蛋性能提升，鸡蛋供应也会增加。因此，中下旬的食品价格涨幅料有所放缓。生猪市场保供稳价频出手猪肉是影响食品价格走势的重要变量。新一轮猪周期开启背景下，8月猪肉价格环比仅上涨0.4%（上月为25.6%），低于市场预期。中信证券宏观经济首席分析师程强 表示，从需求端角度，8月以来全国南方地区出现持续高温天气，对猪肉消费产生较大冲击，终端需求跟进不畅成为制约猪价上行幅度的主要因素之一。自8月下旬高温天气有所缓解以来，猪肉价格明显回升。从供给端角度，前期压栏惜售的情况逐渐缓解，生猪出栏逐步恢复正常。资料图。中新社记者 张云 摄向后看，随着“双节”来临，消费者备货需求增强，9月猪肉价格已出现持续上行趋势，但考虑到疫情冲击以及9月8日开始投放今年第一批中央冻猪肉储备，后期猪肉消费季节性走强程度可能较往年偏弱。
C | 围绕猪肉价格，官方近期亦频频出手。继上周会同有关部门召开生猪市场保供稳价专题会议后，国家发改委14日又宣布，根据当前生猪市场形势，为切实做好生猪市场保供稳价工作，本周国家将投放今年第二批中央猪肉储备。国家发改委强调，下一步将会同有关部门继续密切关注生猪市场供需和价格形势，积极组织开展猪肉储备调节，必要时进一步加大投放力度。
D | 建议养殖场（户）合理安排生产经营决策，保持正常出栏节奏、顺势出栏育肥猪。
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